Category Archives: Precious Metals

MILES FRANKLIN Show Me the Money!

MILES FRANKLIN If It Sounds Like I’m Repeating Myself-It’s Because I Am.

Book Review: Basic Investing in Resource Stocks-The Idiot’s Guide, by Robert Moriarty

By Jayant Bhandari / March 09, 2019 / Article Link

In the recent years investors have lost a lot of money in the resource sector. This shouldn’t have been the case had investors paid attention to the work of Bob Moriarty. Exactly when the sector was losing money, Mr. Moriarty was investing in resource stocks—of the likes of Novo Resources and Irving Resources—that made him 10 to 20 times his investment. In some cases, more.

As Warren Buffet says, “People make investing… more difficult than it should be.”

In his book, “Basic Investing in Resource Stocks—the Idiot’s Guide,” Mr. Moriarty provides a common-sense approach to investing in the resource sector.

“You will make mistakes when investing, but make sure you make new ones.”

Those who have focused their investment life in the resource sector, as I have, tend to think that it is full of idiots and liars, or those living a lifestyle using shareholder money. Mr. Moriarty thinks that other sectors are worse.

Referring to the cryptocurrency mania—which he calls “Bitcon”—about which he started writing on 321gold when it was peaking, he says that total value of Bitcon has fallen from $800 billion to $136 billion. I thought that there was a typo. Had he written “billions” instead of “millions?” But his wasn’t an error. A massive amount of money has changed hands, from gullible people to conmen or street-smart traders.

But the biggest con of all is the fiat currency system that surreptitiously steals people’s money and puts the future generation into bondage. This cannot continue. A “great reset” awaits, for there are far too many systemic risks today.

A product of the fiat currency is the derivative business, a boondoggle that poses significant systemic risks.

All debts must be paid, and the world is awash with it. There are far too many black swans for one not to come into the scene. “The Gilets Jaunes movement of France is merely the opening scene,” says Mr Moriarty. That is where protecting oneself from what is another person’s liability is important, making gold (or silver or platinum or palladium or rhodium) one of the ways to preserve one’s wealth.

In the investment space, a lot of wealth is getting destroyed, misallocated or moving into the hands of conmen, private or public, leaving gullible investors high and dry. What one must learn early on is the concept of probabilities before one starts throwing one’s dice.

One, however, cannot depend on the advice of “experts,” which reminds me of “Nobody Knows Anything,” another book by Mr. Moriarty.

Mr. Moriarty advises people to have the courage—once they have studied their homework properly—to have contrarian thinking, even if it goes completely against the emotions of the market.

There is legitimate information in the market and there is noise. Internet should have made it easier for information to flow freely. Alas, it is noise that has grown bigger than the real signal.

“Change your mind when information changes” makes common-sense, except that most people are resistant to changing their views. The end result is that 90% of investors lose money. While Mr. Moriarty advises not to be a part of that 90%, he is happy they exist, to help him make the extra money.

Read the above words of wisdom in his short and sweet book, including the description of the resource industry, and some saucy stories of his investments.

Jayant Bhandari

ROVER METALS | Firm Advancing Gold Exploration in the Northwest Territories

 

Judson Culter the CEO and Director of Rover Metals (TSX.V: ROVR | OTCQB: ROVMF) sits down with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable to discuss the value proposition of the Cabin Lake Property. In this interview Mr. Culter will provide important updates on the Uptown Gold Property, Cabin Lake Project, and Slemon Lake. Rover Metals is a natural resource exploration company specialized in Canadian precious metal resources (specifically gold). In this interview we will discuss the recent accomplishments of Rover Metals. Ranging from IPO and the implementation of a methodical process of building an exploration company that is positioning itself for success from land acquisitions, permit approval, OTC listing, option agreements and completed the first phase of the 2018 exploration program.

VIDEO

AUDIO

TRANSCRIPT

Original Source: https://www.streetwisereports.com/article/2019/03/10/firm-advancing-gold-exploration-in-the-northwest-territories.html

Firm Advancing Gold Exploration in the Northwest Territories Contributed Opinion

Source: Maurice Jackson for Streetwise Reports  (3/10/19)

Maurice Jackson

Judson Culter, CEO of Rover Metals, speaks with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable about historical exploration on his company’s properties, as well as current exploration plans.

Gold exploration

Maurice Jackson: Welcome to Proven and Probable. I’m your host, Maurice Jackson, and joining us for our conversation is Judson Culter, the CEO and director of Rover Metals Corp. (ROVR:TSX.V; ROVMF:OTCQB). Mr. Culter, welcome to the show.

Judson Culter: Thanks for having me, Maurice.

Maurice Jackson: Glad to have you back on the program. We last spoke in January of 2018, and since then Rover Metals has completed its IPO and implemented a methodical process of building an exploration company that is positioning itself for success from land acquisitions, permit approval, OTC listing, option agreements and completed the first phase of the 2018 exploration program. But before we begin, Mr. Culter, for first time listeners, who is Rover Metals?

Judson Culter: Rover Metals, we are a precious metal exploration company, specifically gold is our focus currently. We’re co-listed in the United States OTCQB: ROVMF, as well as Canada on the TSX.V ROVR. Our project portfolio is concentrated in and around Yellowknife’s Northwest Territories, one of the most mining friendly jurisdictions in Canada and for North America for that matter. I say that just because that’s where our (Canada’s) diamond mines are. That’s historically where several of our gold mines have been. It’s really the primary employer in the Northwest Territories. Outside of government, mining is it.

Maurice Jackson: Why has Rover Metals received so much interest here of lately?

Judson Culter: I think that’s a two pronged answer. First is just credibility. Going back to 2017 on call with you, Maurice, if one listens to that interview, we talked about how we were going to go public, and how we were going to drill our resources, and how we were going to look to add new resources in the similar area code of Yellowknife.

We’ve successfully accomplished all those tasks. I believe we have strong foundational base in our existing shareholders. We’ve got a lot of credibility with them. We get a lot of word of mouth. I think that goes a long way in a market that can be a little bit over saturated in the junior mining space with which projects or which management teams do you back. I think really that we’ve gotten recognition for that now, which is really helping to drive our current success.

The second prong answer speaks to the projects themselves. Rover has the Cabin Lake Project, which is really what the market is asking for, and that’s why we bought it. When we receive the results from our drilling, we believe we will a high-grade gold historical resource that will contain super high grades that the market wants to see as confirmation that this really could be the next gold mine in the Yellowknife, Northwest Territories.

Not to mention this project itself has all the merits a speculator wants. We have solid infrastructure, the Blue Fish Hydro Dam, roads, all the accessibility and proven area of past producers. The market is beginning to recognize the credibility of the management team and the assets. Also, the awareness that we are near drilling in the not-too-distant future has investors’ attention as well.

Maurice Jackson: Justin, what is the driving thesis for Rover Metals in regards to the Kevin Lake gold project?

Judson Culter: The driving thesis has not changed. It’s the same thesis as in the late 1980s. There’s a project called the Lupin Gold Mine that produced from 1983 to 2003 in the north, which is an iron formation, super high-grade gold. The thought at the time was to go and find another one, and that’s what they thought they had here. This is when Cominco and Freeport McMoRan and then Aber Resources, that’s what they thought they had here. They drove 7,500 meters of at or near-surface iron hosted high-grade gold. The only reason they stopped is because somebody found kimberlites a few years after, and the diamond boom in the Territories began.

This project just kind of sat on the back burner as a result of that. Aber Resources, the owner of the time, of course, went on to find the kimberlites. That’s some historical context on this project and why it’s just now coming back to life.

Maurice Jackson: Talk to us about the business acumen here. When and how was Rover Metals able to acquire the Cabin Lake gold project in such a highly contested and sought out district?

Judson Culter: It wasn’t easy; when we looked at the business case, we figured that with a little bit of just rolling up our sleeves, and getting up there, and meeting the right stakeholders, and just recognizing that this is an area that needs new mines and new projects.

I didn’t think it would be like other areas in British Columbia, for example where BC, trying to get First Nation endorsement can be very difficult. There’s so many competing industries that people can really make a way of life in a jurisdiction like British Columbia, whereas knowing a little bit about the Northwest Territories, mining is a big deal up there. People want to see projects succeed.

When we went into the Cabin Lake project, we knew we had to get a couple of things there to get permits. We knew we had to get our neighbors, Tlicho First Nations, on board. We also did our homework and knew that the Tlicho First Nations had previously worked with Fortune Minerals, as well as Nighthawk Gold. When we got to it, there was a framework in place. There was a government that had been formed.

The Tlicho government and the land use formal plan to work within, for application permits, and applications. So, once we got to it, it ended up only being four months to get it permitted. I think it seemed to keep getting easier for us, and it ended up being a decision that looks like it was the right one to make.

Maurice Jackson: Regarding mineral rights in your project portfolio, are there any reversionary interests?

Judson Culter: There’s a 1.5% NSR that we’ve got viable down to a half percentage point for CA$250,000 per quarter percentage.

Maurice Jackson: And does Rover Metals own the mineral rights outright 100%?

Judson Culter: That’s correct. Yes, not just at Cabin Lake, but at the Cabin Lake group of projects. The claims themselves are 10 kilometers apart; so there’s three of them. For the entire group of projects, yes, we have 100% mineral right interest.

Maurice Jackson: Let’s fast forward to 2018 and discuss your exploration program. What were the results from that program and how has that improved the confidence in the gold project?

Judson Culter: It helped us to better track the iron information. So what we did was we spent the six months from March, when we acquired the project, into October, really to digitize all the historical records. At the time in the 1980s, that was meticulously kept, and it was handwritten. We digitize seven banker boxes of data, as well as three map boxes. Then, we put that in a GPS, and tag the colors and everything else.

Then what we wanted to do to follow on with that data was to run a current, modern-day geophysical program. There were a lot of options to us to do it, but in a really economical manner, but also to do it in a very detailed type formation using a drone. Because the mineralization occurs at or near surface, as well as the iron information itself being at or near surface, it really showed up well on the magnetic survey that we flew over the property. So by interlaying the drill results, as well as the mag survey, our geologist was able to get a better interpretation of the iron formation throughout the project. Really, that really set the stage for where we are going to put the drill when we get to drilling this year in 2019.

Beyond just the iron information, what we also realized about the project is the outcropping on either side is quartz. Historically, the quartz had never been tested for mineralization. So we also did a geochemistry program in October. What that showed us is that the PPM and PPB reading of gold from the quartz outcrop area suggest that it’s also very likely to be a host for gold on this project. It’s never been tested historically. That’s the excitement of 2018 and what’s led into the 2019 drill program, which was always trying to be between March and the end of April. We’re still trying to hold on to that deadline.

We’ve got the collars is ready to go. Right now, we believe what we need to do to start drilling is conduct a small financing that we’ll probably release in the coming week or two here.

Maurice Jackson: So to review the value proposition we had before. This is potentially an open-pitable, early-stage brownfield exploration gold project with historical high-grade resource next to a new cobalt-gold mine, is that correct?

Judson Culter: Yes, and that’s one thing I didn’t touch on is the actual historical resource itself. That’s 85,000 ounces unconfirmed in terms of what our current standards allow us to document as a historical resource. What we’re allowed to document in press releases and everything else is 50,000 ounces of roughly 10 to 12 grams gold per ton. The rest of that 35,000 ounces was never signed off by a Qualified Person, but it is in the NORMIN database in the Northwest Territories. It’s in the areas of the Andrew zone, which we’ve documented. Rover will do the work we need to do under 43-101 standards to take that other 35,000 ounces and get it compliant.

From our side internally, we see it as an 85,000 ounce of resource of 12 grams per ton gold on average. When we talk about it publicly, we have to say, 50,000 from a historical resource perspective, but you’re absolutely right that we’re 20 kilometers away from what’s looking to be Canada’s first cobalt mine. The reason I say that is this project’s been 20 years in the making; it’s at the feasibility stage. I believe they’re really just looking to raise the capital to get to work. It’s an open-pitable cobalt mine. The good news is it’s actually a cobalt gold bismuth. So there is a gold processor that’s going to be built 20 kilometers from us. What better news can you possibly have when you’re developing an at-surface resource?

Maurice Jackson: The location in of itself makes the opportunity quite interesting, but to have open pit to me is icing on the cake. Is the goal to sell the project or develop into a commercial scale mine?

Judson Culter: Definitely the goal is to sell it within the next three years, and so I want to put $10 million in the ground, and let’s get this wrapped up and sold. End of story.

Maurice Jackson: What can you share with us regarding the infrastructure?

Judson Culter: So what you see in Yellowknife right now is what’s going to be coming in the pipeline in the next two to three years in the Pine Point Zinc mine is going back into production and that’s Osisko. Part of that is twining the costs in Taltson Hydro Dam and bringing that into Yellowknife itself, as well as Hay River. There’s going to be federal funding allocated, as well as territorial, to do an environmental study that should be announced through fairly short order this year.

After there is a federally funded environmental study to evaluate the twinning of the Taltson Hydro Dam, a successful outcome will lead into a hydro power upgrade to Yellowknife. When Yellowknife is upgraded, that will free up excess hydro power at the Snare and Strutt Lake hydro dams, located approximately 5km away from Camp Lake, one of our claims that’s part of the Cabin Lake group. That power becomes excess power. All of a sudden that frees up for the future the viability of really selling the project because now you’ve got excess power sitting right there, five kilometers away. How good is that?

Maurice Jackson: Switching gears. Rover Metals’ board of directors and advisors consists of the following people:

Maurice Jackson: Bios for the management time are below:

Maurice Jackson: Let’s discuss some numbers. Please share your capital structure.

Judson Culter: We’ve got 47 million shares out today. That’s our issued and outstanding common shares. There are warrants out there. We have 10 million warrants at $0.20 cents, and 10 million warrants at $0.25 cents.

Maurice Jackson: How much cash and cash equivalents do you have?

Judson Culter: Treasury is sitting today around CA$450,000. Then, there’s been some prepayments for upcoming work commitments regarding our exploration plans for this year, as well as I mentioned, we’re doing a lot of our growth in terms of our marketing and our shareholder base in the United States. I think our prepaid balance, if you were to look at that today, should be around CA$200,000, just in terms of for events, as well as I mentioned, exploration planning. If you add that back to our cash position, we’re around CA$650,000 in current assets.

Maurice Jackson: What is your burn rate?

Judson Culter: Our burn rate’s about CA$30,000 a month, and that just includes all in. We purposely don’t carry an office in this market. We’re a bootstrap company. We have home offices, and then we’re on the road a lot. We’ve got an exploration office that is free from our exploration partner, Aurora Geosciences. That’s really where a lot of the hard work gets done. Then, there’s just no corporate office. I don’t feel the need for that, so that helps.

Maurice Jackson: How much debt do you have?

Judson Culter: We have some trade payables of, I think it’s roughly CA$40,000 that we’re going to settle in shares. Outside of that, we’ve got CA$25,000 in payables on top of that, that we’re going to pay in cash. That’s just some exploration legacy from last year.

Maurice Jackson: Who is financing the project, and what is their level of commitment?

Judson Culter: Just sophisticated mining investors. It’s been high net worth, accredited investors to this point. That will continue until we become a $10 million market cap company plus, because we’re just still not able to access institutional funds, and that’s fine. If Rover does everything that we hope to accomplish in the next drilling phase, which we hope is in the next 60 to 90 day window here, we should be a $10 million market cap plus company; and well on our way to institutional money.

Maurice Jackson: Who are the major shareholders?

Judson Culter: I’m a major shareholder. I’ve been seeding Rover not just with time, but my own money; since really inception in 2014. Tookie Angus, who is an advisor, is currently our third largest shareholder. Then, it really starts to break down to smaller tranches, but there is a notable name on the list: Ashwath Mehra, the chairman of GT Gold; he’s a relatively large shareholder.

Management, including Ron Woo. Ron’s also seeded this company. I think Ron’s probably fourth largest shareholder. Keith Minty’s a large shareholder; 38% of our outstanding shares are owned by insiders, management, board. That’s a good thing because that means our shares are tied up for three years.

Maurice Jackson: Judson, based on the data available, what type of value proposition do we have in comparing?

Judson Culter: Well, the market price, let’s just say, I think it should be $8.5 million, just on what we set out today. That’s my personal opinion. I think later value that, that’s just the reality of reserve stocks in North America. We’re going to do what we need to do to take that historical resource and bring it up to current standards, as well as to just extend where they stopped drilling, and just show them this really is a multimillion ounce potential asset.

I think we can get there with the drill program that we’re planning. We’re planning roughly a thousand meter program. I think the value proposition is we’re in a $3.5 million market cap today. I think we’re going to take it to $10 to 15 million in the next six months. Hold me to that.

Maurice Jackson: I certainly will, sir. Multi-layered question here: what is the next unanswered question for Rover Metals? When can we expect the response? How much will the response cost? What determines success?

Judson Culter: That’s going to be our Q1 or Q2 exploration drill campaign. I was going to caveat that, that is subject to the future success of our financing effort (click here), which we hope to announce in roughly two weeks’ time.

That will lead into confirmation of the historical high-grade gold results, such as the open-pit economics, expand upon the known mineralization in the iron formation, as well as to prove up a larger area play and this is more Q2/Q3 work, for the Slemon Lake, and Camp Lake claims, which are located 10 kilometers northwest from Cabin Lake, and we’ll fly that with an aerial B10 survey. What that will show is that the drilling we’ve done at Cabin Lake in the iron formation really just, those other two claims, or districts, an extension of the same geology, which everything that we’ve read historically shows us it is.

Maurice Jackson: Mr. Culter, please share the contact details for Rover Metals.

Judson Culter: Please visit our website www.RoverMetals.com. On there, you’ll find our social media links, which are LinkedInTwitter, our Facebook page and CEO.ca.

Our social media channels really have daily content. We’re press releasing every couple of weeks, but a lot of our investors like really the daily updates on what’s going on in the Northwest Territory. That’s the best place to stay tuned.

You can also submit to our mailing list. We typically will do an email update every two weeks as well. If you go to the bottom of the homepage on the website, and just submit your email, that subscribes you to our email mailing list.

Maurice Jackson: And last but not least, please visit our website, provenandprobable.com, for mining insights and bullion sales. You may reach us at contact@provenandprobable.com.

Judson Culter of Rover Metals, thank you for joining us today on Proven and Probable.

Maurice Jackson is the founder of Proven and Probable, a site that aims to enrich its subscribers through education in precious metals and junior mining companies that will enrich the world.

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MILES FRANKLIN One Begins to Wonder . . . Will It Ever End?

David’s Commentary:
It should come as no surprise that gold and its sibling, silver, have been pulling back recently. I have written several articles recently that built the case that for gold to move up two things need to happen. The stock market has to fall and the dollar has to fall. For a while, they both did, in unison, and gold and silver moved up nicely. But recently both the stock market and the dollar have been “goosed” up a bit and the result is some profit taking and a pull back for our favorite precious metals. Should we be concerned? I would say yes, IF things have fundamentally changed, but they have NOT. If the stock market’s strength is based primarily on a new trade deal with China, whose economy is a basket case, I expect this will fall apart. If you combine our slowing economy with the problems China is facing, there will be little to support further stock market growth. My feelings that the stock market and the dollar will turn down shortly remain intact. And when that happens, gold and silver will get back on track. You can pick them up now, at a discount, or not. Your call.
Kyle Bass, founder of Hayman Capital Management, recently spoke with Real Vision to reiterate his concerns about the Chinese economy.
Kyle Bass on China’s dwindling FX reserves:
“We think the number is closer to $2 trillion, instead of $3.2 trillion, which is dangerously below adequate levels. The broad measure of credit in China’s financial system is $48 trillion worth of RMB (Chinese Yuan). They only have $2 trillion of reserves… In their last banking crisis, which was between 1998 and 2002, the loss given defaults were 80% of loans that defaulted and at one point in time… 35% of their entire system was non-paying.”
“What brings this to a head is the current account. When the current account goes negative and the reserve balance is going the other way (going negative), the rubber meets the road there. As long as that balance is increasing annual along with GDP in RMB terms, they can keep going… Now their fiscal balance is… -9.5%. Their current account balance goes negative, and its a secular negativity, then they have more money leaving then coming in and they have to desperately borrow and now they’re changing their laws. They’re saying ‘You know what? Now Westerners can own more than half of our banks. Not a problem…’ Without Western capital flowing into China, China can’t hold this all together… (Chinese President Xi) has made the West think somehow his economic model is superior to that of Western capitalism and it’s all a facade. The whole thing is a mirage. The whole thing is made up with a printing press, keeping a closed capital account, and hoping the world doesn’t notice it…”
This 10:11 minute video clip is a short excerpt from a Real Vision interview. I found it interesting — and although Kyle is 100 percent correct in what he says, he is talking his book, as he’s massively short their equity market, the yuan, or both. It was posted on the soundingline.com Internet site on Monday — and I thank Brad Robertson for sending it along. Another link to it is here.
And then this…
Back in 2017, we explained why the “fate of the world economy is in the hands of China’s housing bubble.” The answer was simple: for the Chinese population, and growing middle class, to keep spending vibrant and borrowing elevated, it had to feel comfortable and confident that its wealth would keep rising. However, unlike the U.S. where the stock market is the ultimate barometer of the confidence boosting “wealth effect”, in China it has always been about housing as three quarters of Chinese household assets are parked in real estate, compared to only 28% in the U.S., with the remainder invested in financial assets.
“Property accounts for roughly 70 per cent of urban Chinese families’ total assets – a home is both wealth and status. People don’t want prices to increase too fast, but they don’t want them to fall too quickly either,” said Shao Yu, chief economist at Oriental Securities. “People are so used to rising prices that it never occurred to them that they can fall too. We shouldn’t add to this illusion,” Shao added, echoing Ben Bernanke circa 2005.
The bottom line is that just like true price discovery for U.S. capital markets is prohibited (and sees Fed intervention any time there is an even modest, 10-20% drop in asset prices) or else the risk of an all out panic is all too real, in China true price discovery is also not permitted, however when it comes to the country’s all important, and wealth effect boosting, real estate.
Which is a problem, because whereas China suddenly appears to be suffering from all the conventional signs of deflation in the auto retail sector, where as we noted previously, neither lower prices nor easier loans have managed to put a dent the ongoing demand plunge…
… the same ominous price cuts – which are clearly meant to boost flagging demand — are starting to emerge in China’s housing sector.
Case in point, according to China’s Paper, Hui Ka Yan, the Chairman of Evergrande, China’s biggest property developer, and China’s second richest person announced it must ramp up home sales and to do that it would sell all its properties at a 10% discount after its home sales tumbled in January amid a cooling market.
Now that Evergrande is rushing to slash prices, it appears that runaway home prices are no longer a concern for Beijing, and in fact, a far greater concern is how Beijing may intervene to prevent what could soon be a price plunge spiral; many have already speculated that Beijing will have no choice but to bar Evergrande’s sales. If it doesn’t, or if homeowners have already figured out that their home prices are floating in the sky on a bubbly foundation that has now burst, the knock on effect could be devastating as instead of an asset, China’s most popular and aspirational “wealth effect” product could turn into a liability overnight.
If that happens, no amount of intervention by Beijing could stop the avalanche of selling that would ensue, not to mention the deflationary shock wave that a hard landing – i.e. crash – in China’s housing market would launch across the entire world…
No surprises here. This long but worthwhile chart-filled news story was posted on theZero Hedge website at 6:56 p.m. EST yesterday evening — and another link to it ishere. Another ZH article about China showed up on their website at 10:35 p.m. last night — and it’s headlined “Deflationary Red Alert: Chinese Car Dealers Are Slashing Prices, and It’s Not Helping“.
China’s auto industry remains in collapse but what is even more concerning is that new incentives and lower rates are failing to bring rural buyers into showrooms.
As usual, Ed Steer sheds light on the daily manipulation of all the market.
It was the second day in a row where the powers-that-be were very active in the Dow — and the precious metals. The Dow was turned higher around 1:10 p.m. EST — and the precious metals ran into more of Ted’s “night moves” in the thinly-traded afternoon trading session in the Far East. It was all down hill for them from there going into the afternoon gold fix in London…with the exception being palladium, where it ran into ‘something’ a few minutes before noon in New York.
Quoting Bill King from his King Report for today…”stocks tanked on Monday despite the WSJ story that many operators believe was another leak from Team Mnuchin. Perhaps, enough is enough with the U.S.-China trade deal hope and hype stories. They not only appear regularly, but seem to be released quite often on Sunday night near the time when the equity futures begin trading. Please note that over the past few weeks, when stocks are down sharply in the morning, someone appeared at midday or the early afternoon and forced ESHs higher.”
And as reader Mark Barooshian said in an e-mail to me yesterday…”Is this orchestrated sell-off over in the metals?… Why is it always baby steps up — and freight train on the way down?” The answer to the first question is…I don’t know, nor does anyone else. The answer to the second is that it’s what ‘da boyz’ do to maximize their profits…trapping as many Managed Money longs on the losing side as possible.
“There are no markets anymore…only interventions.”
David’s Commentary:
And here are reasons why I believe the recent dollar strength is about to come to an end. A little political pressure goes a long way.
President Donald Trump said Saturday that the U.S. dollar is too strong and took a swipe at Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell as someone who “likes raising interest rates.”
The dollar was quoted lower against the euro and the yen in early Asia-Pacific trading hours on Monday after Trump’s comments.
The U.S. economy is doing well despite the actions of the central bank, Trump said during a wide-ranging speech at the Conservative Political Action Conference in National Harbor, Maryland.
“I want a strong dollar but I want a dollar that does great for our country, not a dollar that’s so strong that it makes it prohibitive for us to do business with other nations and take their business,” Trump said Saturday.
He didn’t mention Powell by name, but referenced “a gentleman that likes raising interest rates in the Fed, we have a gentleman that loves quantitative tightening in the Fed, we have a gentleman that likes a very strong dollar in the Fed.”
This Bloomberg story was posted on their Internet site on Saturday morning Pacific Standard Time — and updated about twenty-six hours later. I found it embedded in a GATA dispatch — and another link to it is here.
And this too… Dollar death by a thousand cuts.
BRICS Is Creating A Common Payment System
The BRICS states (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) are working on a common payment system BRICS Pay.
The Russian Direct Investment Fund, which coordinates Moscow’s working group on financial services of the BRICS Business Council, has shared the news with Izvestia.
A probable outcome of the project is creation of an online wallet that would combine the payment systems of all BRICS members.
The common wallet will work in the same way as the existing payment services such as Apple Pay or Samsung Pay. A cloud platform created specifically for this project will connect the national payment systems of BRICS countries.
Payment itself is expected to be made via a mobile application regardless of the national currency of the buyer. Countries without membership in BRICS will also be able to use the platform. The pilot project kicks off in South Africa in early April.
David’s Commentary:
This year is the first time in more than 50 years that Susan and I didn’t leave Minneapolis for at least a week or two over the winter. Our 15-year old dog can no longer travel, does not do well when left at a kennel and is way too much of a handful for our kids to manage. We feel a deep responsibility to her and it has marooned us in this unbelievable winter of snow and cold. February logged the most snow on record. Ever! We got over three feet in 28 days. And we are supposed to get more snow starting at the end of this week – five days in a row is possible. Our handyman is coming by tomorrow to shovel snow off of our flat roof. It is nearly two feet high now, before the new snow arrives. In addition to all that snow, it was accompanied by record cold, and countless days below zero. We can survive it, but what happens is that it forces you stay indoors most of the time.
I have to keep reminding myself that warmer weather is just around the corner – and so are higher prices for gold and silver. One really needs to take a longer view of both the weather and precious metals in order to survive the nasties that both can offer up.
I would like to believe that this recent pullback in gold and silver is the final “managed correction” before the big takeoff. The fundamentals that were so kind to the metals have not changed. As usual, it’s the buying and selling of future contracts by the big banks and hedge funds on Comex that move the markets in the short-term. If nothing fundamental has changed, then, like the lousy February in Minneapolis, things will soon get back to normal.
All of this harsh weather got me to thinking. How did the Indians endure Minnesota’s extreme weather? According to a recent article I read, meteorological studies suggest that from 1600 to 1850 the climate generally was colder and wetter than now. How did the half a dozen tribes that populated this area survive? They lived in houses made out of birch bark, which never molds. They would build a pit in the middle of the floor with rocks buried underneath the floor. When the rocks were heated, it would radiate the warmth throughout the house.
There were variations of houses on the reservations. The typical lodge style dwelling would be constructed with trees natural to their regions. Sharpened logs were thrust into the ground and then bent and tied similar to an upside-down basket. The framework was covered with bark, and animal skins were used to cover the door and chimney hole.
Pole wigwams in the form of teepees were also constructed. People greased themselves in oil and animal fat to protect against the sun and cold.
Native people also prepared for harsh storms by forecasting them. My wife uses the six o’clock weather report on Fox News. But for the Indians, if the wind brought clouds from the north, it meant a blizzard. Woodpeckers sharing a tree or nest meant a harsh winter was coming.
I have trouble surviving a 100-yard trek up our driveway every morning to get the paper – even dressed to the hilt in a winter parka and boots and gloves. It’s the mental part of surviving the winter that is the most difficult, just like it’s the mental part of surviving the constant take down of gold and silver. One begins to wonder, will it ever end? Yes, sunny days and warm weather will be here in a month and the gold and silver prices will rebound shortly as well. But when you are freezing your ass off, or wake up to see that gold is down $20 it is depressing.
As it so happens, I will have some extra money coming my way in a week. Like you, I ask myself, what should I do with it? That is a question that has different answers, depending on one’s age, finances and portfolio. In my case, I know this much – even though I have a large precious metals portfolio, I would still rather add to it, especially after a pull back like this one, than put it into a stretched-to-the-hilt stock market. Cash is good, but how much can you keep in cash? I think I’ll do the silver, gold and cash thing. I’ll spread it around a bit.
The five years Susan and I spent in Miami in the winter was great, at least weather wise, and I fully expect to bask in the sun of a precious metals bull market soon too. Everything cycles and the metals up-cycle is close at hand. All it will take is a dollar pullback and/or a stock market plunge, and I expect that both are coming. I wish it were here now – that would make this uncommonly harsh winter much easier to take.
My car in front of a snowdrift!
About Miles Franklin
Miles Franklin was founded in January, 1990 by David MILES Schectman. David’s son, Andy Schectman, our CEO, joined Miles Franklin in 1991. Miles Franklin’s primary focus from 1990 through 1998 was the Swiss Annuity and we were one of the two top firms in the industry. In November, 2000, we decided to de-emphasize our focus on off-shore investing and moved primarily into gold and silver, which we felt were about to enter into a long-term bull market cycle. Our timing and our new direction proved to be the right thing to do.
We are rated A+ by the BBB with zero complaints on our record. We are recommended by many prominent newsletter writers including Doug Casey, Jim Sinclair, David Morgan, Future Money Trends and the SGT Report.
For your protection, we are licensed, regulated, bonded and background checked per Minnesota State law.
Miles Franklin
801 Twelve Oaks Center Drive
Suite 834
Wayzata, MN 55391
1-800-822-8080

MILES FRANKLIN The Magic Money Tree

The Magic Money Tree
Miles Franklin sponsored this article by Gary Christenson. The opinions are his.
Our Current Financial Circumstances:
1)   The U.S. is $22 trillion in debt and burdened with $100 – $200 trillion more in unfunded liabilities. Just to pay the interest the U.S. must borrow. Debt is rapidly rising and cannot be paid unless “they” default or hyper-inflate the dollar.
2)   Chairman Jerome Powell stated, “The U.S. federal government is on an unsustainable path.” Even the Fed admits what everyone should realize.
3)   Global debt is $250 trillion. Some countries have descended farther down the debt-paved road to economic hell than the U.S.
4)   Pensions are under-funded, student debt is a disaster, the main street economy is weak, real estate prices and sales are falling, retail sales are down, real wages have been stagnant since the 1970s, and no credible plan exists to fix debt, deficits or devaluations.
5)   The political and financial elite profit from wars, inflation, devaluation, strip-mining assets, and income inequality.
6)   It’s an ugly picture with no easy answers.
MAGIC MONEY TREE ECONOMICS & MMT.
Global central banks have created over $20 trillion in “funny money” to bail out commercial banks, purchase stocks and ETFs, buy sovereign bonds, levitate stock markets and force interest rates lower. They implemented the central bank version of magic money tree economics.
MMT—Modern Monetary Theory—supporters claim that “printing” dollars enables huge expenditures and makes excessive debt irrelevant.
MMT might be nonsense, but so are most of the current central bank policies and practices. If central banking and economic policies were sensible and effective, how did the United States (and world) sink into such a deep financial hole?
***
Indulging in fantasy accounting, delusional economics and speculation, we suggest…
Mortgage relief: The Treasury should issue vouchers that reduce mortgages (mostly government agency loans) on single-family homes by half. Individuals mail the vouchers to their lenders who cut their outstanding balance in half – non-taxable – and paid by the Treasury. Home owners will feel wealthier and less overwhelmed.
Student Debt: Current and former students are drowning in student loan debt. Use similar vouchers to reduce student loan debt by two-thirds. Debtors will mail the voucher to their loan administrator and receive a non-taxable debt reduction. Student loan payments decrease.
Credit Cards: Apply similar vouchers for credit card debt that reduces it by half, also non-taxable. People will spend more and boost the retail economy.
Income Taxes: Americans, like many others, pay too much in taxes and need more spendable income. The IRS should refund 100% of taxes paid by individuals for tax years 2016 and 2017. Most people will spend the refunds on consumer goods and stimulate the non-financial economy. Politicians will be heroes.
Universal Basic Income: Encourage Americans to apply for a UBI through the Social Security Administration. No social security number – no UBI! This UBI will put extra currency into circulation and stimulate the economy.
Dream On!
IN FAVOR OF MAGIC MONEY TREE PROGRAMS:
1)  These programs will offer needed debt relief to individuals. The Federal Reserve provided $ trillions to bail out banks in the past decade. However, the above debt relief programs will directly help individuals, which is fair considering the banker bailouts.
2)  Corporations and the wealthy received the Trump tax breaks. The government should now aid the bottom 90% of Americans.
3)  With less debt individuals, will spend more and increase savings, both of which will benefit the economy.
4) Dollars are backed by nothing and have value only because we believe they have value. The banking cartel creates $trillions each year from “thin air.” The above MMT programs do for the individual what the banking cartel does for bankers.
5) People will love these programs and politicians can promise something for nothing to buy votes.
ARGUMENTS AGAINST MAGIC MONEY TREE PROGRAMS:
1)  The programs aren’t fair. Some people benefit more than others, but our current system is also unfair. Nothing new here.
2)  Who pays for these programs? Nobody directly pays, the money is created (like now) but fed into the economy through individuals, not the banks. Helicopter money! We pay via inflation.
3)  It will increase consumer price inflation. Yes, but the current financial system is already inflationary, which someday will require a reset.
4)  The political and financial elite don’t receive a payoff from these programs. Correct—the programs must be tweaked to feed dollars into the hands of the elite, or they’ll block the programs. Bring on the lobbyists…
5)  People might realize that dollars are fake money when trillions are created from nothing and used to reduce individual debt. (However, facing the truth is good.)
***
For perspective on Washington D.C. and Wall Street, we listen to wisdom and wit from Bill Bonner:
“We look at the passing parade in Washington through a cynical lens…
No situation is so hopeless… so absurd… or so disastrous that the feds can’t make it worse. No policy is too stupid… too counterproductive… or too corrupt that it can’t become the law of the land.
And no man is too craven… too degenerate… or too much of an imbecile to be disqualified from public office.”
The public officials described above make the rules and will create more debt, larger deficits, and possibly use MMT. Are you prepared for the ugly consequences?
***
CONCLUSIONS:
  • MMT or Modern Monetary Theory or Magic Money Tree economics may be an excuse for free-spending politicians.
  • However, dire consequences will besiege us if we continue current central banking and debt policies. Which will be worse, current policies or MMT?
  • With or without MMT programs, the U.S. is spending itself into an economic disaster. Increasing consumer price inflation, continual devaluation, and exponentially increasing debt are the best-case scenarios.
  • Under those best-case scenarios, we should own silver, gold and hard assets to insure our savings, retirement, and purchasing power.
  • Under far worse scenarios, we must own silver and gold to protect ourselves from what our politicians, delusional programs, central bankers, and predatory government will do to increase their revenues.
Miles Franklin sells silver and gold. Call 1-800-822-8080 and tell them you agree with the Deviant Investor about silver, devaluations and delusional programs.
Hoping for a return to economic, financial and political sanity…
Gary Christenson
About Miles Franklin
Miles Franklin was founded in January, 1990 by David MILES Schectman. David’s son, Andy Schectman, our CEO, joined Miles Franklin in 1991. Miles Franklin’s primary focus from 1990 through 1998 was the Swiss Annuity and we were one of the two top firms in the industry. In November, 2000, we decided to de-emphasize our focus on off-shore investing and moved primarily into gold and silver, which we felt were about to enter into a long-term bull market cycle. Our timing and our new direction proved to be the right thing to do.
We are rated A+ by the BBB with zero complaints on our record. We are recommended by many prominent newsletter writers including Doug Casey, Jim Sinclair, David Morgan, Future Money Trends and the SGT Report.
For your protection, we are licensed, regulated, bonded and background checked per Minnesota State law.
Miles Franklin
801 Twelve Oaks Center Drive
Suite 834
Wayzata, MN 55391
1-800-822-8080
Copyright © 2019. All Rights Reserved.

BOB MORIARTY on Geopolitics, Resource Companies and His New Book

In this action packed interview, Bob Moriarty the founder of 321gold and 321energy.com sits down with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable to discuss current events, companies that have your attention, and to discuss Amazon’s best-selling book right now, under Commodities Trading, which happens to be your book aptly entitled: “Basic Investing In Resource Stocks, the Idiot’s Guide”.

VIDEO

AUDIO

https://soundcloud.com/proven-and-probable/bob-feb-2019

 

TRANSCRIPT

Original Source: https://www.streetwisereports.com/article/2019/03/03/bob-moriarty-on-geopolitics-resource-companies-and-his-new-book.html

Bob Moriarty on Geopolitics, Resource Companies and His New Book 
Contributed Opinion

Source: Maurice Jackson for Streetwise Reports  (3/3/19)

Bob MoriartyMaurice JacksonBob Moriarty of 321 Gold sits down with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable and sounds off about the state of the world, resource companies he is paying attention to, and what readers will find in his new book.

World map

Maurice Jackson: Welcome to Proven and Probable, I’m your host Maurice Jackson. Joining us for a conversation is Bob Moriarty, the founder of 321gold and 321energy.com.

We brought you on today to discuss current events, companies that have your attention and to discuss Amazon’s best-selling book right now under commodities trading, which happens to be your book aptly entitled “Basic Investing in Resource Stocks: The Idiot’s Guide.” Bob, you shared with me on a number of occasions to be aware of political and geopolitical events as they have a direct influence on our lives and portfolio. Let’s begin with current events and there’s a number of them unfolding right before us. Beginning in the U.S., what has your attention and why?

Bob Moriarty: I don’t know a good term to use, but it’s almost a feeling of a sick desire to watch something obscene, the Cohen hearings are certainly interesting. It’s a measure of how far over the cliff the country has gone. It’s obscene. Why you would get a guy who is a felon and who’s lied to Congress, who has an agenda to testify in Congress is just amazing! We know the guy is a liar. It’s all political theater. Sadly, neither party, no one is trying to improve the country. They’re just trying to get even with the guys on the other side of the aisle. It’s sick okay, but it’s interesting to watch because it’s so sick.

Maurice Jackson: In previous interviews you referenced the Deep State/Shadow Government. For someone new to the conversation, who is the Deep State and what is their significance?

Bob Moriarty: I’m not sure that deep state is a good term. It’s really the Congressional Military Industrial Complex that President Eisenhower warned us about in 1961 in his farewell address. In his written copy, President Eisenhower called it the Congressional Military Industrial Complex. His political advisor said, “You can’t do that. You can’t criticize Congress, so remove that. Just call it the Military Industrial Complex.”

There exists within the United States a small subset whose economic welfare is based on constant war. We no longer fight wars to achieve peace. We fight wars to achieve war and it’s a transfer of wealth from the taxpayers, the United States to the Congressional Military Industrial Complex. Wars will destroy, actually it has destroyed the United States already.

The United States is bankrupt, it’s functionally bankrupt. There is nothing we can do about it. There is no savior that’s going to come along. There are no solutions, we’re bankrupt. The standard of living of most Americans is going to decline a lot more than it already has.

Maurice Jackson: Just for the record, is it the Military Industrial Complex or the Democratic Party, which one is it that really wants President Trump out and why?

Bob Moriarty: Both the Deep State and the Democrats, but only because they wanted Hillary Clinton in. She was supported by the Deep State. A couple of months ago I was writing and talking about there being a coup d’etat in the United States. Then Andrew McCabe came actually went on 60 Minutes and he admitted it. I mean this is bizarre. If you have a coup d’etat in any country in the world, the legal system should arrest these guys, give them fair trials and shoot them. We don’t do that. We admit, “Oh yeah, we attempted a coup d’etat, the Department of Justice and the NSA and the CIA and the FBI were all trying to overthrow the democratically elected president of the United States,” but who cares?

Maurice Jackson: Bob, I want to go back to my previous question, what will be the purpose or what is the ultimate intent? If they get President Trump out, then what?

Bob Moriarty: Well, see, that’s the problem. We talk about defeating the ISIS in Syria or we talk about regime change in Iran or regime change in Syria or regime change in Afghanistan or regime change in Iraq. We never have a plan B. We never have anything that we actually intend to do. The journey has become the destination and that is perpetual war.

Maurice Jackson: Let me ask you this here, what is Bob Moriarty’s assessment of President Trump?

Bob Moriarty: I think the man’s an idiot. You want to beat around the bush, he’s a blithering idiot. He’s a narcissist. He’s knowledge of things economic or historical are absolutely obscene. He’s most certainly a criminal, but when you say that you also have to say, well, his opponent was Hillary Clinton. If she had been elected president, there would have been four versions of air force one, three of them just to carry her baggage around.

Maurice Jackson: Therefore, in some regards the United States would have the same president in Trump or Clinton. Let’s expand the narrative to geopolitics here. Things are really heating up between India and Pakistan. What’s going on there?

Bob Moriarty: Let me back track a little bit. I think we’ve discussed the worldwide revolution before, but the population of every country on earth is upset because the power and the money is being transmitted from the 99% to the 1%. Everybody is upset, the Yellow Vest and Israel and Canada and Brussels and Spain and I’m certain that’s true in Pakistan as well. There is an area of disputed territory between Pakistan and India that’s been in dispute since 1948. There are people, there are terrorists, India calls them terrorists, but they’re supported by Pakistan who set off a bomb and killed 40 Indian policemen, military. India was naturally upset.

When you’re dealing with two parties who are equipped with nuclear weapons, you want to avoid that kind of stuff. Because one of the options is everybody keeps being stupid and you end up lobbying nuclear weapons at each other. I’m not going to say I’m predicting it, I don’t know what the possibility is. I know it’s a very dangerous time and I wish there was a way of sorting it out that made sense. Unfortunately, I mean the only sane political leader in the world today I think is Putin.

Maurice Jackson: Speaking of Putin, I want to address the situation with Russian, Ukraine as well. Before we do that, let’s move west and go and discuss the situation between the U.S. and Iran, what’s going on there?

Bob Moriarty: Well, here’s what’s funny. Israel has been advocating for a war against Iran since 1982. It’s in writing. They’ve said it many, many times. It has nothing to do with Iran and everything to do with Israel. Israel has convinced the United States to fight their wars for them. There is no Iranian nuclear weapons program period. It stopped years ago, all 17 U.S. intelligence agencies admitted and there is no nuclear weapons program period, end of story. Everything that has been said about Iran is something that has been made up by Benjamin Netanyahu and the Mossad. They’re trying to convince the Americans to go to war.

Now since Donald Trump was bought and paid for by Sheldon Adelson, he sold his soul for about $30 or $35 million in the presidential campaign. Benjamin Netanyahu through Sheldon Adelson literally tells the President of the United States what to do. I’m naturally against that, however, if Hillary Clinton had been elected she would have done the same thing. We need to stop fighting wars for Israel. I am not a pacifist. I am the opposite of a pacifist. I am a warrior and I fought in war and I know all about war because I’ve been there. I would defend my country and my family and my state in a minute against a true enemy.

We go out and create the straw enemies who are not the enemies of us on behalf of Israel. Then we attack them and we let a bunch of our kids get killed. We pay for the war and it’s bankrupted the United States. The United States can end up just like French empire, the Spanish empire, the Russian empire, the British empire, it’s going to bankrupt itself. The standard of living of Americans are going to go down substantially, fighting wars for a tiny meaningless country in the Middle East.

Maurice Jackson: You know what you say sometimes I know that others may disagree with you and say, “That’s a little extreme,” but the reality is, you’ve stated empirical evidence. Wars bankrupt nations and then they also devalue their currency and history does repeat itself. The United States currently is on that trajectory. Let’s move north here. You referenced Russia earlier, there isn’t that much news coming out from Russia and Ukraine. What’s the situation like there?

Bob Moriarty: Well, actually there is and again that’s a situation where the neocons who are under the control of Benjamin Netanyahu. I mean they’re traitors to the United States, but they would like to get into war with Russia and they’re using the Ukraine. It’s really funny because the Ukrainian government is supported by the United States, Poroshenko, they’re just as corrupted as they could be. It’s the worst possible thing in the world for the Ukrainian people, but we don’t give a shit, okay, as long as they do what the United States wants to do, which is to antagonize Russia.

Now everybody talks about Russia having invaded Crimea, but the Crimea was always part of Russian, been part of Russian since I think Catherine the Great. The Crimea only became part of Ukraine in 1954, because Khrushchev got drunk and he signed it over to the Ukrainians. Ukraine was part of the USSR back then, so it didn’t really change anything whatsoever. When the United States sponsored and paid for and admittedly paid $5 billion of American dollars to subvert the Ukrainian government and sponsored the coup d’etat in Ukraine against their democratically elected president. Then the thugs that are running Ukraine started stirring up trouble that was anti-Russian. The people in the eastern part of the country voted and said, “We don’t want to be part of Ukraine, we’re Russian. We’ve always been Russian and we want to be Russian.” Ukraine is kind of split in two.

Ukrainian Navy tried to force a ship through a very narrow straight and the Russians captured the ship and said, “No, you can’t do that. That’s illegal to do.” It’s a hot spot and it’s something that could go nuclear in very short order. We have a small group about 30 people who are at the heart of military industrial complex. They’re neocons, they’re dual nationals. They do not owe any loyalty whatsoever to the United States, but all of it to Israel who want to sponsor war between the United States and Russia. If we do, if we allow them to do that, it’s a war that’s going to last for about 30 minutes.

Maurice Jackson: Well, certainly it’s a war that we don’t want. I recall, Bob, you’ve referenced before in previous interviews it’s a fact that maybe most people aren’t aware of. You referenced that the United States does not engage in war with countries that have nuclear weapons. I’m I correct in my memory on that?

Bob Moriarty: Well, by and large we choose to attack countries that cannot defend themselves. Pakistan was good and Afghanistan was good and Iraq was good and Syria was good and Iran’s good. Why they’re antagonizing Russia, which most certainly is nuclear armed, I don’t know.

Maurice Jackson: Switching gears, let’s move onto companies that have your attention at the moment.

Bob Moriarty: Well, there’s my favorite trio and Quinton Hennigh is behind all three of them in Novo Resources Corp. (NVO:TSX.V; NSRPF:OTCQX), which we have talked about at some length. It’s very hot in Australia right now and summer starts cooling down in March and April and they’ll get busy. Novo is doing some stuff now, but nothing of significance that will move the market. They will be testing at Egina probably starting in April and I expect some very significant results there.

But of more interest is Miramont Resources Corp. (MONT:CSE) that I think they’ve completed six holes so far in southern Peru. They’ve got a very interesting deposit with three big targets that could be a world-class project. I’m not sure the first results they’re going to show out of the box, blow the lead off the stock kind of assays. It’s a drill program that I expect to be of major importance. I expect drill results coming out in two to four weeks, and they’re certainly going to be very interesting and it’s the stocks that I own a lot of and I’d like a lot. It’s got about $30 million market cap. Now Novo has about $400 million market cap, so Miramont’s can move a lot more than Novo in terms of percentage.

Second, you and I went to Irving Resources Inc. (IRV:CSE; IRVRF:OTCBB) a year and a half ago, almost two years ago now. They should and should be in great big quotation marks, should start drilling about mid-March and probably six weeks to two months after that start coming out with the results. They’re testing two things. They’re going to test the area that we saw that had very high grade gold right at the surface in a vein system. Just for your information Keith Barron went over there. The samples that we took tested about $25,000 a ton. Keith Barron took a sample that tested $35,000 a ton. That’s not going to be the first drill target. The first drill target’s going to be in the sinter. The sinter has shown some several grams to the ton assays from the coats of silica cap that makes it the sinter. That sinter is steep because that’s typically not where the gold is found. The gold is trapped underneath the sinter and they’re going to drill into that. I can’t tell you whether Irving will hit on the first hole or its 50th hole, but I expect some real barn burning results there.

Maurice Jackson: It’s truly interesting times for Dr Quinton Hennigh there. How about switching to the Metallic Group of Companies. What can you tell us about them?

Bob Moriarty: Well, the first company that I wrote up going back 18 years ago is NovaGold. The guy that I was working with was Greg Johnson, he was the Vice President of Exploration. Very intelligent guy, very good guy. I like him a lot. What he’s done he’s put together three companies in different commodities. He’s got a company that specializes in copper and it’s called Granite Creek Copper Ltd. (GCX.V:TSXV). He’s got a company called Group Ten Metals Inc. (PGE:TSX.V; PGEZF:OTC) that has a platinum, palladium deposit in Montana right next to the Stillwater mine. It appears from a technical point of view, it appears that they’ve got a carbon copy of the Stillwater Mine.

Greg has done a brilliant job of putting packages together that nobody else has ever put together before. Everybody knew there were some good projects at Stillwater that weren’t owned by Stillwater. One guy owned one and another guy owned another. Another company owned the other and what Greg’s managed to do is put that together. Then there’s Metallic Minerals Corp. (MMG:TSX.V) that specializes in silver up in the Yukon. The interesting thing is, it’s all under similar managements. I like him a lot. These are all very quiet companies. Nobody’s heard about them. Nobody pays any attention to them, but I think that all three of them will end up being home runs. I like Greg Johnson a lot, he’s a good guy.

Maurice Jackson: Full disclosure, all the companies that you’ve referenced so far are sponsors of Proven and Probable with the exception of Granite Creek Copper. There’s one more company that recently you’ve been discussing and that is Rover Metals. What can you share with us?

Bob Moriarty: Well, Rover Metals Corp. (ROVR:TSX.V; ROVMF:OTCQB) is interesting. Rover has got the market cap about $3 million and they’ve got just under a million dollars in the bank. They can get started. In a roaring ball market it is not the majors or the mid tiers that have the greatest percentage advance, it’s the little tiny companies that have the major upside. Rover is north of the Yellowknife okay up in the Northwest Territory. I think they’re 110 kilometers north of the Yellowknife.

Most people won’t even recognize this, but I think it’s the biggest gold mine in Canada was the giant mines in Yellowknife. It was a big deal 30 or 40 years ago, but you don’t hear much about that district now. He’s put together a good package. They’re getting a lot of interesting results. He’s got enough money to get started on the drill program and it’s the company that can go from the $3 million market cap to a $30 million market cap with one set of good drill holes.

Maurice Jackson: The CEO there is Judson Culter. Just for our audience, we will be interviewing Group Ten Metal’s tomorrow as well as Rover Metals. Then Metallic Minerals as well next week and we plan to have Granite Creek Copper as well. We just interviewed Novo Resources and we’re trying to get Miramont and Irving back on the program as well here in the future. Finally, Bob, you just released a new book entitled ‘Basic Investing in Resource Stocks: The Idiot’s Guide.’ Allow me to be the first to congratulate you in less than 10 days your book is the best-selling book on Commodities Trading on Amazon. That’s quite an accomplishment.

Bob Moriarty: Well, yeah, but you’re the guy who kept bugging me to write the damn thing. It’s all your fault, it’s not my fault.

Maurice Jackson: I’m delighted and honored that you wrote the book and I know everyone that will be wise enough to purchase a copy will feel the same. Bob, tell us about your book, and why should someone reading purchase a copy?

Bob Moriarty: Well, here’s what’s interesting, if you’ve never written a book or a long article, you don’t realize that once you start writing, it takes a life of its own. I fully intended to cover copper and uranium and zinc and silver and gold and platinum and palladium. What I intended to do turned out to be something totally different than what I actually ended up with. I started writing and whatever it is that controls my typing fingers said, “No, you don’t want to go in this direction. You want to go in this direction,” so I did that. What I did is I put in a lot of things that I’ve learned over the years that they’re very important.

I mean, let me give you a perfect example. There are so many people who are invested in gold and silver and resource stocks, who spend a lot of time worrying about manipulations. The funny thing is the whole manipulation thing is just as big as scam as “Bitcon” and Global Warming. We talked about Bitcon when it was $800 billion and it’s $150 billion now. That was a great financial fraud world test. Global warming and carbon credits is an absolute fraud. It’s a tax. There is no such thing as global warming. The real danger is global cooling and it has far more to do with the sun than it has to do with the actions of man.

To a much smaller degree, the idea of manipulation being significant, it’s similar. It’s fraud and the people who talk about it know that they’re using fraud. However, it’s very appealing. When you go out and buy a company or when you go out and buy a commodity and it goes down, you can always point at manipulation and say, “It’s manipulated. I didn’t lose money because I’m stupid and made bad decisions. I lost money because it’s manipulated.” The guys who talk about manipulation and use manipulation as an excuse don’t bother telling everybody every financial instrument is manipulated. It is manipulated by everybody all of the time. Now if you think that manipulation is significant, you should not invest. It’s that simple, but everything’s manipulated.

We know the government manipulates the interest rates. We know they manipulate currencies, good chance they manipulate stock market. Who gives a shit? It’s like the sun coming up, you can’t do anything about it. Why worry about it? I put in a bunch of tips that I’ve learned over the years from mistakes that I’ve made and I’m really quite proud of the book. I think it’s a good book and I think that people will save themselves a lot of money by buying and reading the book.

What I try to do is I try to make books very simple. I’m not interested in a 400 or 500 page turner or I’m trying to espouse some really unique theory of investing. I don’t give a shit. I want to help ordinary people make decisions that can make them money. Now, I think you and I have talked a couple of times about the Daily Sentiment Indicator. I have used that to predict turns in 24 commodities. I did it in January of 2018 and then I did it in the end of December 2018. Only 24 commodities that I predicted would turn direction, 24 of them did it. The funny thing is I’m not a guru. Anybody could do that, if they would read the book, if they would understand the basics. If they use the tools that are available to everybody. Anybody could do that. There’s no magic to it. Everybody wants to convince people there’s some kind of magic. You need to listen to the experts, you need to listen to the gurus. Well, the experts are all full of shit. Why would you want to listen to them?

Maurice Jackson: Your book resonates with so many people, hence the success it’s had already. When one reads this book, you have the ability to tap into one of the deepest reservoirs of intellectual capacity in this sector that has a proven pedigree of success. Bob is sharing with you the tools he uses, and they’re very practical. Anyone as you referenced could use the tools.

When I first read the book, it wasn’t what I expected. Not in a disappointing way, I thought you were going to go into a more technical side but instead it’s a very pragmatic book. It’s very easy to understand and apply. Bob, on behalf of Proven and Probable, we want to thank you for giving us the seal of approval as one of the trusted sources that you recommend for readers. That is by far the highest compliment to our work and I want to thank you for that sir.

Bob Moriarty: Well, I don’t know whether you should thank me. If people hate the book, I’m going to blame you.

Maurice Jackson: We’ll take the blame on that one. Let me ask you this as well, what type of feedback have you received from your peers in the industry?

Bob Moriarty: Very positive. When you’re a writer you never really know how people are going to react to it. I mean face it, there’s a lot of books that are worth reading. When you do something and you have invested a lot of time and energy and thought into something, you want people to react to it in a positive way. I’ve talked to a lot of people and I’ve had a lot of people do reviews so far and there will be a lot more reviews. Everybody is receiving it very well. I think these guys are not trying to suck up to me. If they saw a problem with it, they’d say something.

Maurice Jackson: Bob, give us a title one more time and share with us where we can purchase a copy.

Bob Moriarty: Okay, you can go to Amazon.com and buy it there in any country they sell books. It’s “Basic Investing in Resource Stocks: The Idiot’s Guide.” I want everybody to understand it’s not the reader that’s the idiot, it’s me.

Maurice Jackson: Bob, before we close, last question. What did I forget to ask?

Bob Moriarty: Probably dozens and dozens of things. You just lack the ability to ask any interesting questions. Once you got past, “How are you doing on your book?” you just ran out of interesting things to say.

Barbara Moriarty: He forgot to ask about the new investment.

Bob Moriarty: Oh, which new investment?

Maurice Jackson: Well, please share with us.

Barbara Moriarty: Sheep. I bought two of the Swiss Valley black Nosed Sheep. They are a special breed. They are very rare and they are absolutely gorgeous. They are living in five star luxury in the new forest in England and they are two males, but they sort of didn’t go full, did they really?

Bob Moriarty: Yeah. Let me be nice about this. They used to be males.

Barbara Moriarty: They have them fixed, but they’re not like normal sheep. They are like lovely cuddly teddy bears.

Maurice Jackson: Pleasure speaking with you, ma’am.

Barbara Moriarty: I will send you a photo.

Sheep

Home

Maurice Jackson: Bob, for someone that wants to get more information on your work, please share the websites.

Bob Moriarty: I’ve got two websites, 321energy and 321gold, and they’re free websites and we’ve got about 50,000 people a day coming to them. We think they’re valuable.

Maurice Jackson: Last but not least, please visit provenandprobable.com for Mining Insights and Bullion Sales. You may reach us at contact@provenandprobable.com.

Bob Moriarty of 321gold and 321energy.com, thank you for joining us today on Proven and Probable.

Bob and Barb Moriarty brought 321gold.com to the Internet almost 16 years ago. They later added 321energy.com to cover oil, natural gas, gasoline, coal, solar, wind and nuclear energy. Both sites feature articles, editorial opinions, pricing figures and updates on current events affecting both sectors. Previously, Moriarty was a Marine F-4B and O-1 pilot with more than 832 missions in Vietnam. He holds 14 international aviation records.

Maurice Jackson is the founder of Proven and Probable, a site that aims to enrich its subscribers through education in precious metals and junior mining companies that will enrich the world.

Disclosure: 

1) Bob Moriarty: I, or members of my immediate household or family, own shares of the following companies mentioned in this article: Miramont Resources, Irving Resources, Novo Resources, Granite Creek Copper, Group Ten Metals and Metallic Minerals. I personally am, or members of my immediate household or family are, paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None. My company has a financial relationship with the following companies mentioned in this article: Miramont Resources, Irving Resources, Novo Resources, Granite Creek Copper, Group Ten Metals and Metallic Minerals are sponsors of 321 Gold and/or 321 Energy.
2) Maurice Jackson: I, or members of my immediate household or family, own shares of the following companies mentioned in this article: Miramont Resources, Irving Resources, Novo Resources, Granite Creek Copper, Group Ten Metals and Metallic Minerals. I personally am, or members of my immediate household or family are, paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None. My company has a financial relationship with the following companies mentioned in this article: Miramont Resources, Irving Resources, Novo Resources, Granite Creek Copper, Group Ten Metals and Metallic Minerals are sponsors of Proven and Probable. Proven and Probable disclosures are listed below.
3) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: None. Click herefor important disclosures about sponsor fees.
4) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of the author and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The author is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. The author was not paid by Streetwise Reports for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports requires contributing authors to disclose any shareholdings in, or economic relationships with, companies that they write about. Streetwise Reports relies upon the authors to accurately provide this information and Streetwise Reports has no means of verifying its accuracy.
5) This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.
6) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the interview or the decision to write an article until three business days after the publication of the interview or article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases. As of the date of this article, officers and/or employees of Streetwise Reports LLC (including members of their household) own securities of Granite Creek Copper, Group Ten Metals and Metallic Minerals, companies mentioned in this article.

Proven and Probable LLC receives financial compensation from its sponsors. The compensation is used is to fund both sponsor-specific activities and general report activities, website, and general and administrative costs. Sponsor-specific activities may include aggregating content and publishing that content on the Proven and Probable website, creating and maintaining company landing pages, interviewing key management, posting a banner/billboard, and/or issuing press releases. The fees also cover the costs for Proven and Probable to publish sector-specific information on our site, and also to create content by interviewing experts in the sector. Monthly sponsorship fees range from $1,000 to $4,000 per month. Proven and Probable LLC does accept stock for payment of sponsorship fees. Sponsor pages may be considered advertising for the purposes of 18 U.S.C. 1734.

The Information presented in Proven and Probable is provided for educational and informational purposes only, without any express or implied warranty of any kind, including warranties of accuracy, completeness, or fitness for any particular purpose. The Information contained in or provided from or through this forum is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, trading advice or any other advice. The Information on this forum and provided from or through this forum is general in nature and is not specific to you the User or anyone else. You should not make any decision, financial, investments, trading or otherwise, based on any of the information presented on this forum without undertaking independent due diligence and consultation with a professional broker or competent financial advisor. You understand that you are using any and all Information available on or through this forum at your own risk.

CHRIS MARCUS Tesla – The Next Enron?

 

Tesla – The Next Enron?

As the Austrian economists have long pointed out, one of the things that commonly happens during periods of credit expansion is that the easy money leads to malinvestment. Which is usually revealed later on when the credit is removed and the excesses are exposed.

Of which there is growing evidence that Tesla may turn out to fit this profile. To the degree that some analysts are suggesting it might even be the next Enron.

Certainly one of the challenges in today’s financial markets (and perhaps this has always been the case) is not just in analyzing the numbers. But also in evaluating the integrity of the numbers. Because remember that the Enron numbers looked great. Except that they were never real.

And now as Tesla approaches a key financial event where its $920 million dollar bond payment is coming due, not only is there uncertainty as to how CEO Elon Musk is going to make that payment, but also increasing concerns around his actions and the veracity of the financial data the company provides.

In an interview with Tesla analyst Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics, Kranzler pointed out how not only did Musk break the law in sending his “420 secured” tweet, but that “Tesla’s Q3 GAAP “Net Income” numbers are highly misleading, if not outright fraudulent”.

Aside from concerns about the quality of the financial statements, Mark Tepper, president and CEO of Strategic Wealth Partners mentions how “there are stories of people not getting their vehicles, and then not getting their refunds for months.” While another concern being echoed among Tesla bears is in regards to the company’s growing reputation for being unable to deliver on the promises Musk makes.

“He hasn’t hit on any target or deliverable with any sort of reliability for years now. Why should I believe him now? Remember in 2016 when he said they’d be profitable and didn’t need any more money? Or when they said that in 2017? He’ll probably be saying the same thing at the bankruptcy hearing.”

-Harris Kupperman of Praetorian Capital

In addition to the red flags surrounding management is the latest news that January sales are down significantly, as the tax incentives have begun phasing out.

(chart courtesy of @teslashcarts)

Which makes it even more interesting to see what will happen in the next few days as the bond payment comes due. Especially with Musk creating a new round of suspense on Wednesday with a tweet that “some Tesla news” will be delivered on Thursday.

So if Musk is going to convince investors that the company is on solid footing, under good management, and that the data is accurate, he has some work to do. Because simply based on the events of the past year, as well as growing skepticism in the investment community, the possibility that Tesla will be exposed as an Enron is becoming a more real view in the marketplace.

To date the company has been able to navigate these issues. Yet especially if the Fed were to ever remove the unprecedented amount of credit it has injected into the system over the past decade, if the concerns regarding Tesla are indeed accurate, it may well in time rival Enron as one of the biggest financial scandals in history.

 

Chris Marcus

Arcadia Economics
“Helping You Thrive While We Watch The Dollar Die”
www.ArcadiaEconomics.com

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